Caravaca vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CDA
0 - 1
CAR
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
YEC
1 - 2
CAR
16%
20%
64%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
5 - 1
NVL
66%
19%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 2
CAR
24%
22%
54%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 2
CAR
24%
22%
54%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
CAL
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
LOR
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CIE
0 - 5
SAN
10%
18%
72%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
BAL
25%
24%
52%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
JUM
1 - 0
SAN
12%
18%
70%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -1 |