Caravaca vs AD Lorqui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CIE
0 - 0
CAR
10%
16%
74%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 1
CAR
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
JUM
2 - 2
CAR
8%
15%
77%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
5 - 1
ALC
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
EFA
3 - 1
CAR
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
AD Lorqui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LOR
4 - 0
CAL
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 4
BAL
33%
23%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 2
LOR
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 2
BAL
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
JUM
1 - 1
LOR
23%
21%
55%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |