Caravaca vs Montecasillas Fc analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CIU
3 - 1
CAR
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
ADM
87%
10%
4%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 1
CAR
10%
17%
73%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 1
MUL
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CDL
2 - 7
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Montecasillas Fc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
SPO
21%
22%
57%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
4 - 3
MON
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MON
2 - 3
EFA
21%
22%
57%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
EDC
2 - 2
MON
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
ADG
36%
24%
40%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |