Caravaca vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
IND
1 - 2
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 0
MAZ
65%
21%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
PIN
0 - 3
CAR
20%
24%
56%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 2
JUM
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
AGU
3 - 2
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
LOR
3 - 0
IMP
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
LAS
1 - 0
LOR
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
LOR
3 - 0
MOL
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 1
LOR
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
LOR
4 - 1
CDB
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |