Caravaca vs Ed Churra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ADG
0 - 2
CAR
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
CFS
65%
19%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LAU
2 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
MON
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CIU
3 - 1
CAR
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Ed Churra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
EDC
1 - 1
SPO
9%
17%
75%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 0
EDC
71%
17%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
EDC
1 - 2
EFA
9%
17%
74%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
EDC
0 - 3
ALC
45%
23%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ADG
1 - 0
EDC
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |