Caravaca vs Alcantarilla Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
SPO
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAR
12%
19%
69%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
EFA
3 - 2
CAR
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
EDC
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ADG
0 - 2
CAR
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alcantarilla Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 2
CIU
15%
20%
64%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
6 - 1
ALC
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ADM
2 - 1
ALC
27%
23%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ALC
4 - 2
BAL
41%
23%
36%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 1
UDL
48%
23%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |