Carapinheirense vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
53.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
OLE
2 - 1
CAR
23%
22%
55%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 0
FAT
15%
20%
65%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +6 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SER
3 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
VIT
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FAT
2 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
IDE
5 - 1
ANM
76%
15%
10%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 1
IDE
14%
19%
67%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 2
PRA
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SER
5 - 1
IDE
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |