Carapinheirense vs GRAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapinheirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
MOR
41%
25%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
22%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
GRAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 3
OLE
10%
17%
73%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 4
MAR
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
8%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 2
UDL
6%
13%
81%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
BEN
3 - 0
GRA
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |