Carapebus EC vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NFC
0 - 4
CEC
14%
17%
69%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CEC
2 - 1
ZFC
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 3
CEC
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CEC
3 - 0
ADB
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
MAG
1 - 3
CEC
22%
20%
58%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
CGA
1 - 1
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
BON
33%
26%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
FRI
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
MAC
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |