Carapebus EC vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
65.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
JFC
3 - 0
CEC
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
SCR
3 - 0
CEC
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
CEC
0 - 3
ANG
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
IFC
3 - 0
CEC
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
CEC
0 - 3
MES
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MES
1 - 3
SER
36%
28%
36%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SER
5 - 2
AME
43%
23%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BON
1 - 0
SER
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
CER
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 0
SER
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |