Carapebus EC vs Barra Mansa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
SCR
0 - 1
CEC
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CEC
1 - 0
RDJ
29%
21%
49%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ZFC
1 - 0
CEC
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CEC
4 - 0
ANG
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BON
1 - 0
CEC
61%
22%
17%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Barra Mansa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
CGA
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
SCR
20%
20%
61%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
RDJ
2 - 1
BAR
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
ZFC
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 1
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |