Riga FC vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
1º
22
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
39.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 36 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 34 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
56% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
44% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
RIG
3 - 1
CAR
43%
22%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 2
CAR
22%
22%
56%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
TOB
1 - 2
CAR
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
PFC
1 - 3
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
PET
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SUP
0 - 0
TRA
34%
23%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 0
SUP
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 0
FSL
86%
9%
5%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
FKE
0 - 4
SUP
20%
19%
61%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SUP
5 - 3
MAR
81%
12%
7%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |