Riga FC vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.1%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
12.2%
4%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
88
1º
3º
2º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
RIG
40%
23%
37%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
CAR
14%
23%
62%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
FKT
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
LIE
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
VAL
7%
16%
78%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
SUP
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 1
FKJ
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SUP
82%
13%
4%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 1
BFC
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |