Riga FC vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
88
1º
3º
2º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
RIG
0 - 0
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 1
FKT
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 2
CAR
30%
26%
45%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 4
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
77%
17%
6%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 2
SUP
70%
18%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
FSM
4 - 1
SUP
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 2
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 4
BFC
34%
25%
42%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 1
SUP
81%
14%
5%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |