Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 3-3
Riga FC vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
PGL
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
PGL
3 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 0
BFC
72%
19%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
DUN
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SUP
0 - 6
CAR
26%
23%
51%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
HJK
2 - 1
CRV
23%
24%
53%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
HJK
1 - 1
VAA
78%
16%
7%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
CRV
2 - 0
HJK
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ILV
1 - 1
HJK
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
HBT
2 - 2
HJK
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |