Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 4-4
Riga FC vs Piast Gliwice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
PGL
3 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 0
BFC
72%
19%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
DUN
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SUP
0 - 6
CAR
26%
23%
51%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
0 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SLA
2 - 1
PGL
29%
27%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
PGL
3 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
PGL
1 - 1
LPO
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
PGL
1 - 2
BAT
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
PGL
1 - 3
GDA
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |