Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
6º
2º
35
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 5
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
DTE
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 2
CAR
13%
21%
66%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
LIE
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
CAR
53%
21%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 1
FKT
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 1
FSM
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
FKT
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 2
FKT
55%
21%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 0
BFC
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |