Riga FC vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
6º
2º
35
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 5
CAR
16%
24%
60%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAL
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 1
RIG
24%
24%
53%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
FKT
36%
24%
40%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
GRO
45%
23%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 1
FKT
39%
25%
37%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKJ
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |