Riga FC vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
6º
2º
39
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
CAR
53%
21%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 2
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 1
GRO
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
RIG
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 0
LIE
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 0
LIE
58%
22%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 2
LIE
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIE
3 - 1
FKT
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 2
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |