Riga FC vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
88
1º
3º
2º
51
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIE
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
0 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
HON
0 - 2
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 5
FKJ
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIE
46%
24%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 4
VAL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
LIE
13%
22%
65%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
LIE
7%
17%
77%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LIE
7 - 0
FKB
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 32 | 44 | 0 |