Riga FC vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
1º
27
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
57.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
42.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 3
CAR
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 5
CAR
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
0 - 1
CAR
44%
24%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
GRO
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
0 - 3
CAR
26%
24%
51%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 2
RIG
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 0
GRO
41%
26%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 1
FKT
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 0
FKJ
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 0
FKJ
67%
21%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |