Riga FC vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
88
1º
3º
2º
40
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 4
CAR
34%
24%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 3
TWE
25%
24%
50%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
FSM
74%
18%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
TWE
2 - 0
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKJ
2 - 0
FKT
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 2
FKJ
78%
16%
6%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
AUD
3 - 0
FKJ
69%
19%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 1
FKJ
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
3 - 2
LIE
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +2 |