Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis

Riga FC BFC Daugavpils
76 ELO 69
-0.8% Tilt 15.8%
874º General ELO ranking 1825º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
58.1%
Riga FC
23.6%
Draw
18.3%
BFC Daugavpils

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
Riga FC
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.3%
Win probability
BFC Daugavpils
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Riga FC
+30%
-13%
BFC Daugavpils

Points and table prediction

Riga FC
Their league position
BFC Daugavpils
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
27
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FK RFS
52
79
63%
Riga FC
55
79
63%
FK Auda
37
61
63.5%
FK Liepāja
35
59
55%
BFC Daugavpils
27
45
56%
FS Jelgava
24
39
30.5%
SK Super Nova
21
37
26%
FK Tukums 2000
18
36
18.5%
Grobiņa
19
34
26%
FK Metta
10º
17
32
10º
49%
Expected probabilities
Riga FC
BFC Daugavpils
Champions League qualifying phase
37% 0%
Conference League knock out round
63% 0.5%
Mid-table
0% 95.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 3%
Relegation
0% 1%

ELO progression

Riga FC
BFC Daugavpils
FK Metta
FK Liepāja
FK Auda
FS Jelgava
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Riga FC
Riga FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2025
CAR
Riga FC
3 - 0
FS Jelgava
FKJ
63%
22%
15%
77 66 11 0
27 Jun. 2025
AUD
FK Auda
1 - 3
Riga FC
CAR
37%
26%
36%
77 77 0 0
22 Jun. 2025
CAR
Riga FC
2 - 0
SK Super Nova
SUP
62%
22%
16%
77 66 11 0
18 Jun. 2025
CAR
Riga FC
3 - 1
FK RFS
RIG
39%
26%
36%
76 76 0 +1
14 Jun. 2025
GRO
Grobiņa
0 - 2
Riga FC
CAR
31%
24%
46%
76 65 11 0

Matches

BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jun. 2025
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
1 - 7
FK RFS
RIG
31%
25%
44%
70 77 7 0
26 Jun. 2025
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
3 - 2
Grobiņa
GRO
49%
24%
27%
69 65 4 +1
21 Jun. 2025
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
1 - 2
FK Tukums 2000
FKT
53%
23%
24%
70 63 7 -1
17 Jun. 2025
FSM
FK Metta
2 - 2
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
34%
26%
39%
69 63 6 +1
13 Jun. 2025
LIE
FK Liepāja
1 - 1
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
58%
24%
18%
69 76 7 0