Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
6º
2º
42
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
SLA
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
6 - 1
FKJ
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 3
CAR
3%
8%
89%
|
78 | 33 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 3
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 2
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
BFC
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 2
BFC
39%
27%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
BFC
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 0
BFC
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 0
FKJ
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |