Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis

Riga FC BFC Daugavpils
78 ELO 59
-2.4% Tilt 3.4%
860º General ELO ranking 1810º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
74.5%
Riga FC
17.7%
Draw
7.8%
BFC Daugavpils

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
Riga FC
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
7.8%
Win probability
BFC Daugavpils
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Riga FC
+20%
-4%
BFC Daugavpils

Points and table prediction

Riga FC
Their league position
BFC Daugavpils
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
88
36
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FK RFS
89
89
100%
Riga FC
88
88
100%
FK Auda
58
58
100%
Valmiera FC
53
53
100%
FK Liepāja
51
51
100%
FS Jelgava
40
40
100%
BFC Daugavpils
36
36
100%
FK Tukums 2000
35
35
100%
FK Metta
33
33
100%
SK Super Nova
10º
14
14
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Riga FC
BFC Daugavpils
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Riga FC
BFC Daugavpils
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Riga FC
Riga FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2023
KTE
Kecskeméti
2 - 1
Riga FC
CAR
32%
24%
45%
78 70 8 0
23 Jul. 2023
FKT
FK Tukums 2000
0 - 6
Riga FC
CAR
19%
25%
57%
78 61 17 0
20 Jul. 2023
VIK
Víkingur Reykjavík
1 - 0
Riga FC
CAR
52%
23%
26%
79 77 2 -1
16 Jul. 2023
PPK
PPK
0 - 5
Riga FC
CAR
4%
10%
87%
79 21 58 0
13 Jul. 2023
CAR
Riga FC
2 - 0
Víkingur Reykjavík
VIK
44%
24%
32%
78 78 0 +1

Matches

BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2023
VAL
Valmiera FC
0 - 1
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
77%
16%
7%
58 78 20 0
16 Jul. 2023
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
1 - 4
FK Auda
AUD
28%
25%
48%
59 70 11 -1
10 Jul. 2023
FSM
FK Metta
0 - 0
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
42%
26%
32%
59 58 1 0
05 Jul. 2023
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
2 - 0
SK Super Nova
SUP
69%
19%
13%
59 45 14 0
30 Jun. 2023
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
1 - 1
FS Jelgava
FKJ
49%
26%
25%
59 58 1 0