Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
88
1º
3º
2º
36
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
KTE
2 - 1
CAR
32%
24%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 6
CAR
19%
25%
57%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 0
CAR
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
PPK
0 - 5
CAR
4%
10%
87%
|
79 | 21 | 58 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
VIK
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
BFC
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 4
AUD
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
0 - 0
BFC
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 0
SUP
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
FKJ
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |