Riga FC vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
87
1º
6º
2º
60
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 1
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
FSM
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
ROS
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
DBA
0 - 3
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
RIG
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
AUD
2 - 2
NSO
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 0
AUD
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
BFC
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 0
FKT
63%
20%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |