Caracas vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 2
ZUL
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
CFC
2 - 0
LFC
44%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
ZUL
3 - 2
CFC
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
LFC
1 - 0
CFC
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CFC
5 - 0
LLA
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 0
CUE
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
UCO
3 - 2
IVT
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
DEL
0 - 1
IVT
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
IVT
5 - 0
UCO
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
IVT
1 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |