Caracas vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
53%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
CFC
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 2
UCV
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
CFC
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
CFC
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 4
ATM
16%
25%
60%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 1
RIE
66%
21%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
CEN
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 1
CEN
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
PEÑ
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |