Caracas U20 vs Metropolitanos U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
53.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
DGU
30%
25%
44%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DGU
1 - 1
CAR
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 8
CAR
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
UCV
68%
18%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
ZAM
34%
26%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitanos U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MET
0 - 0
FRA
85%
12%
4%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MET
3 - 2
DPE
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MET
4 - 1
DGU
79%
15%
7%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MET
1 - 2
DPE
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
DGU
1 - 0
MET
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |