Caracas U20 vs Fratelsa U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
UCV
1 - 1
CAR
22%
22%
57%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
DGU
2 - 3
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
MET
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
DGU
30%
25%
44%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DGU
1 - 1
CAR
24%
22%
54%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Fratelsa U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
AVE
3 - 0
FRA
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 1
DGU
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 2
UCV
46%
22%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
DGU
1 - 1
FRA
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MET
0 - 0
FRA
85%
12%
4%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | 0 |