Caracas U20 vs Aragua U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 2
CAR
31%
26%
42%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
DLA
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 0
DLA
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
ARA
31%
25%
43%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ARA
9 - 1
TUC
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
ARA
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |