Caracas II vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
UCV
0 - 1
CAR
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
ATL
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CDS
0 - 1
CAR
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
EST
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CES
0 - 3
CAR
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 0
ATL
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
HER
2 - 1
LAR
19%
24%
56%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LAR
1 - 2
POR
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
LAR
1 - 0
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 3
LAR
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |