Caracas II vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
UCV
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 0
CAR
75%
17%
8%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 4
CDS
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAR
40%
25%
36%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 3
ANZ
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
ZUL
4 - 0
LAR
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
LAR
0 - 0
TRU
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |