Caracas II vs UCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
YAR
1 - 0
CAR
45%
26%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
YAR
0 - 2
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
MIR
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
APC
3 - 1
CAR
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
FAL
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
UCV
4 - 0
GVA
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
APC
0 - 1
UCV
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
UCV
4 - 0
FAL
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
YAR
1 - 1
UCV
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
UCV
2 - 0
MIR
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |