Caracas II vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
CAR
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
MIN
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
REA
0 - 0
CAR
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
TUC
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
POL
2 - 1
TUC
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SCG
0 - 1
POL
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
MET
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
POL
2 - 3
URE
49%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 1
POL
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |