Caracas II vs Deportivo Lara II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
SCG
58%
22%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
ATL
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
6 - 1
ARR
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 2
POR
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 1
DEP
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
EST
2 - 2
DEP
14%
20%
66%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 1
ATL
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 3
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |