Carabobo vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MET
3 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 2
CAR
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
REA
0 - 3
CAR
32%
26%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
CAR
66%
22%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -3 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
POL
3 - 4
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
REA
1 - 3
POL
55%
22%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
POL
0 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TUC
1 - 0
POL
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
POL
1 - 2
SCG
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |