Carabobo vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
URE
3 - 2
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
LOT
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
YAR
1 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ULA
1 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
SCG
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
POL
3 - 1
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
URE
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 0
POL
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
POL
2 - 0
ULA
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SCG
6 - 3
POL
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -2 |