Carabobo vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
TRU
1 - 1
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 3
MAR
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
ARA
1 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2006 |
CAR
4 - 1
ITA
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CFC
4 - 0
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
MON
1 - 2
MAR
40%
30%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
CFC
1 - 0
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
MON
3 - 1
TAC
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
MIN
3 - 2
MON
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MON
3 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |