Carabobo vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
51.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
GVA
1 - 0
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 3
LAR
21%
28%
51%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
TRU
31%
28%
42%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
YAR
1 - 1
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 3
APC
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 2
YAR
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 1
SAN
25%
27%
48%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
LAR
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LAR
2 - 2
BAR
74%
17%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
LAR
1 - 0
POR
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |