Carabobo U20 vs San Fernando U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 3
CAR
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HEG
0 - 2
CAR
29%
23%
49%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CMV
0 - 3
CAR
29%
23%
49%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
San Fernando U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
SFE
0 - 0
TUC
51%
21%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SFE
3 - 0
CHI
34%
23%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UCA
3 - 0
SFE
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
SFE
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |