Carabobo II vs Unión Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
URE
1 - 0
CAR
29%
28%
44%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 0
CAR
25%
25%
49%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
ATL
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
5 - 1
ULA
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
ULA
27%
25%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ULA
1 - 2
URE
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
ULA
34%
24%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 2
ULA
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |