Carabobo II vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ULA
1 - 1
CAR
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
URE
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
FAL
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 2
CAR
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
ZAM
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
URE
2 - 1
POL
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
POL
2 - 1
FAL
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 2
POL
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
POL
3 - 3
YAR
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ULA
0 - 0
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |