Capriolese vs Cazzagobornato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
48.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capriolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAP
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAP
27%
23%
51%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 3
UNI
49%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cazzagobornato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 1
UNI
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
CAZ
10%
17%
73%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SER
0 - 4
CAZ
9%
16%
75%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | +1 |