Capricorn Cougars vs Far North Qld Bulls analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
65.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capricorn Cougars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
QAS
6 - 0
CCA
75%
14%
10%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
CCA
1 - 5
BRI
9%
15%
75%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
GCS
5 - 1
CCA
70%
18%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
WMF
5 - 0
CCA
73%
16%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CCA
1 - 1
GCS
27%
24%
49%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Far North Qld Bulls
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
SUN
2 - 3
FNQ
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
FNQ
4 - 2
QAS
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
WMF
3 - 2
FNQ
45%
23%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 0
FNQ
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
FNQ
4 - 2
WMF
54%
22%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |