Capoise vs Violette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
19%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAP
42%
32%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
CAV
50%
30%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AIG
1 - 1
CAP
36%
32%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 0
VIC
45%
30%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
TEM
0 - 0
CAP
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Violette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
FIC
2 - 0
VIO
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
VIO
0 - 0
DON
42%
30%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 1
VIO
47%
30%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VIO
0 - 1
CAV
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
AIG
2 - 1
VIO
45%
30%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |