Capoise vs ASPDIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
GON
1 - 0
CAP
42%
32%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CAP
1 - 1
DAC
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 2
CAP
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAP
0 - 0
ASS
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
VIC
1 - 1
CAP
46%
31%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ASPDIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ASP
0 - 3
CAV
39%
30%
31%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
GON
2 - 0
ASP
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
ASP
1 - 1
TEM
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ASP
0 - 2
ASC
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
DON
0 - 0
ASP
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |