Capoise vs Mirebalais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
27%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
CAP
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 0
VAL
32%
32%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
DON
3 - 2
CAP
49%
29%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TEM
2 - 0
CAP
58%
26%
17%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 0
FIC
34%
30%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
VIO
2 - 1
ASM
52%
28%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 1
AME
28%
32%
40%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 0
ASM
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
ASM
47%
32%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
TEM
30%
33%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |