Capoise vs Mirebalais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2007 |
VIC
1 - 0
CAP
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
CAP
0 - 0
BAL
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ROU
1 - 2
CAP
35%
28%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
VIO
1 - 2
CAP
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CAP
2 - 0
GON
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ASM
0 - 0
GON
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ASC
1 - 1
ASM
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ASM
0 - 0
TEM
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
ASM
0 - 1
VIC
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ZFC
3 - 1
ASM
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |