Capivariano vs Portuguesa Santista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
CAP
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 2
LIN
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
CAP
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 5
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 2
CAP
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
CAX
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
COM
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
POR
5 - 5
SAO
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |